Publications | Weather Extremes and Climate Impacts Analytics

2023

• Aguilera, R., Luo, N., Basu, R., Wu, J., Clemesha, R., Gershunov, A., & Benmarhnia, T. (2023). A novel ensemble-based statistical approach to estimate daily wildfire-specific PM2. 5 in California (2006–2020). Environment International, 171, 107719.
• Hatchett, B. J., Koshkin, A. L., Guirguis, K., Rittger, K., Nolin, A. W., Heggli, A., … & Haleakala, K. (2023). Midwinter dry spells amplify post‐fire snowpack decline. Geophysical Research Letters, e2022GL101235.
• Dimitrova, A., Gershunov, A., Levy, M. C., & Benmarhnia, T. (2023). Uncovering social and environmental factors that increase the burden of climate-sensitive diarrheal infections on children. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 120(3), e2119409120.
• Howard, I. M., Stahle, D. W., Dettinger, M. D., Poulsen, C., Ralph, F. M., Torbenson, M. C., & Gershunov, A. (2023). A 440-Year Reconstruction of Heavy Precipitation in California from Blue Oak Tree Rings. Journal of Hydrometeorology.

2022

• Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, B. Hatchett, T. Shulgina, M.J. DeFlorio, A.C. Subramanian, Janin Guzman-Morales, R. Aguilera, R. Clemesha, T.W. Corringham, L. Delle Monache, D. Reynolds, A. Tardy, I. Small, and F. M. Ralph, 2022: Winter wet–dry weather patterns driving atmospheric rivers and Santa Ana winds provide evidence for increasing wildfire hazard in California. Clim Dyn (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06361-7
• Cayan, D. R., DeHaan, L. L., Gershunov, A., Guzman-Morales, J., Keeley, J. E., Mumford, J., & Syphard, A. D. (2022). Autumn precipitation: the competition with Santa Ana winds in determining fire outcomes in southern California. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 31(11), 1056-1067.
• Aguilera, R., Leibel, S., Corringham, T., Bialostozky, M., Nguyen, M. B., Gershunov, A., & Benmarhnia, T. (2022). Mediating Role of Fine Particles Abatement on Pediatric Respiratory Health During COVID‐19 Stay‐at‐Home Order in San Diego County, California. GeoHealth, 6(9), e2022GH000637.
• Corringham, T. W., J. McCarthy, T. Shulgina, A. Gershunov, D. Cayan, F. M. Ralph, 2022: Climate change contributions to future atmospheric river flood damages in the western United States. Scientific Reports, 12, 13747 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-15474-2
• Michaelis, A. C., Gershunov, A., Weyant, A., Fish, M. A., Shulgina, T., & Ralph, F. M. (2022). Atmospheric river precipitation enhanced by climate change: A case study of the storm that contributed to California’s Oroville Dam crisis. Earth’s Future, 10(3), e2021EF002537.
• Dimitrova, A., McElroy, S., Levy, M., Gershunov, A., & Benmarhnia, T. (2022). Precipitation variability and risk of infectious disease in children under 5 years for 32 countries: a global analysis using Demographic and Health Survey data. The Lancet Planetary Health, 6(2), e147-e155.
• Naughten, S. M., Aguilera, R., Gershunov, A., Benmarhnia, T., & Leibel, S. (2022). A Perspective on Pediatric Respiratory Outcomes During California Wildfires Due to Smoke and PM2. 5 Exposure. Frontiers in Pediatrics, 10.
• Schwarz, L., Dimitrova, A., Aguilera, R., Basu, R., Gershunov, A., & Benmarhnia, T. (2022). Smoke and COVID-19 case fatality ratios during California wildfires. Environmental Research Letters, 17(1), 014054.

2021

• Keeley, J.E., J. Guzman Morales, A. Gershunov, A.D. Syphard, D.R. Cayan, D.W. Pierce, M. Flannigan and T. Brown, 2021: Ignitions explain more than precipitation or temperature in driving Santa Ana Wind fires. PNAS. In Press.
• Gershunov, A., J. Guzman Morales, B. Hatchett, R. Aguilera, T. Shulgina, K. Guirguis, J. Abatzoglou, D. Cayan, D. Pierce, P. Williams, I. Small, R. Clemesha, L. Schwarz, T. Benmarhnia, A. Tardy, 2021: Hot and cold flavors of southern California’s Santa Ana winds: Their causes, trends, and links with wildfire. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05802-z
• Schwarz, L., K. Hansen, A. Alari, S.D. Ilango, N. Bernal, R. Basu, A. Gershunov and T. Benmarhnia, 2020: Spatial variation in the joint effect of heat waves and ozone on respiratory hospitalizations in California. PNAS. In Press.
• Aguilera, R., T. Corringham, A. Gershunov, S. Leibel and T. Benmarhnia, 2021: Fine Particles in Wildfire Smoke and Pediatric Respiratory Health in California. Pediatrics. 147(4):e2020027128.
• Mehta, S., D. Vashistha, L. Schwarz, I. Corcos, A. Gershunov, K. Guirguis, R. Basu, T. Benmarhnia, 2021: Racial/ethnic disparities in the association between fine particles and respiratory hospital admissions in San Diego County, CA. Environmental Science and Health. Part A, DOI: 10.1080/10934529.2021.1887686.
• Aguilera, R., T. Corringham, A. Gershunov and T. Benmarhnia, 2021: Wildfire smoke impacts respiratory health much more than fine particles from other sources: observational evidence from Southern California. Nature Communications. 12:1493, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21708.
• Abatzoglou, J.T., B.J. Hatchett, P. Fox-Hughes, A. Gershunov, and N.J. Nauslar, 2021: Global climatology of downslope winds. International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.6607.

2020

• Aguilera, R., K. Hansen, A. Gershunov, S. Ilango, P. Sheridan, and T. Benmarhnia, 2020: Respiratory Hospitalizations and Wildfire Smoke: A spatio-temporal analysis of an extreme firestorm in San Diego County, California. Environmental Epidemiology, 4, doi: 10.1097/EE9.0000000000000114.
• Skaff, N.K., Q. Cheng, R.E.S. Clemesha, P.A. Collender, A. Gershunov, J.R. Head, C.M. Hoover, D.P. Lettenmaier, J.R. Rohr, R.E. Snyder, and J.V. Remais, 2020: Thermal thresholds heighten sensitivity of West Nile virus transmission to changing temperatures in coastal California. Proc. R. Soc. B. 287: 20201065. http://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2020.1065
• Cao, Q., A. Gershunov, T. Shulgina, F.M. Ralph, N. Sun and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2020: Floods due to atmospheric rivers along the U.S. West Coast: The role of hydrological initial conditions in a warming climate. Journal of Hydrometeorology. In press.
• Goddard, L. and A. Gershunov, 2020: Impact of El Niño on weather and climate extremes. In El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate (eds M. J. McPhaden, A. Santoso, W. Cai). American Geophysical Union. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119548164.ch16.
• Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, M.J. DeFlorio, T. Shulgina, L. Delle Monache, A.C. Subramanian, T.W. Corringham, and F. M. Ralph, 2020: Four atmospheric circulation regimes over the North Pacific and their relationship to California precipitation on daily to seasonal timescales. GRL. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087609.
• Abatzoglou, J.T., B.J. Hatchett, P. Fox-Hughes, A. Gershunov, and N.J. Nauslar, 2020: Global climatology of downslope winds. International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.6607.
• Schwarz L., B.J. Malig, J. Guzman Morales, K. Guirguis, A. Gershunov, R. Basu and T. Benmarhnia, 2020: The health burden of fall, winter and spring heat waves in Southern California and contribution of Santa Ana Winds. Environmental Research Letters. 15,054017.
• McElroy, S., L. Schwartz, H. Green, I. Corcos, K. Guirguis, A. Gershunov and T. Benmarhnia, 2020: Defining heat waves using sub-regional meteorological data to maximize benefits of early warning systems to population health. Science of the Total Environment, 721. DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137678
• Ilango, S.D., M. Weaver, P. Sheridan, L. Schwarz, T. Bruckner, R. Basu, A. Gershunov and T. Benmarhnia, 2020: Extreme heat episodes and risk of preterm birth in California, 2005-2013. Environment International, 137. DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2020.105541

2019

• Aguilera, R., A. Gershunov, S.D. Ilango, J. Guzman Morales and T. Benmarhnia, 2019: Santa Ana winds of Southern California impact PM2.5 with and without smoke from wildﬁres. GeoHealth, 4, e2019GH000225. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GH000225.
• Aguilera, R., A. Gershunov and T. Benmarhnia, 2019: Atmospheric rivers impact California’s coastal water quality via extreme precipitation. Science of the Total Environment, 671, 488–494.
• Barlow, M., W.J. Gutowski Jr., J.R. Gyakum, R.W. Katz, Y.-K. Lim, R.S. Schumacher, M.F. Wehner, M. Bosilovich, A. Gershunov, R. Grotjahn, R. Leung, S. Milrad, L. Agel, 2019: North American extreme precipitation events and related large scale meteorological patterns: a review of statistical methods, dynamics, modeling, and trends. Climate Dynamics, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04958-z
• Corringham, T.W., F.M. Ralph, A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan and C.A. Talbot, 2019: Atmospheric rivers drive flood damages in the western United States. Science Advances, 5, 12, eaax4631, DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aax4631
• Gershunov, A., T.M. Shulgina, R.E.S. Clemesha, K. Guirguis, D.W. Pierce, M.D. Dettinger, D.A. Lavers, D.R. Cayan, S.D. Polade, J. Kalansky and F.M. Ralph, 2019: Precipitation regime change in Western North America: The role of Atmospheric Rivers. Nature Scientific Reports, 9:9944, DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-46169-w. https://rdcu.be/bJPK0
• Goddard, L. and A. Gershunov, 2020: Impact of El Niño on weather and climate extremes. In El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate (eds M. J. McPhaden, A. Santoso, W. Cai). American Geophysical Union. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119548164.ch16.
• Guzman Morales, J. and A. Gershunov, 2019: Climate change suppresses Santa Ana Winds of Southern California and sharpens their seasonality. GRL, doi: 10.1029/2018GL080261.
• Leibel S., M. Nguyen, W. Brick, J. Parker, S. Ilango, R. Aguilera, A. Gershunov, T. Benmarhnia, 2019: Increase in Pediatric Respiratory Visits Associated With Santa Ana Wind-driven Wildfire and PM 2.5 levels in San Diego County. Annals of the American Thoracic Society, doi: 10.1513/AnnalsATS.201902-150OC.
• Malig, B.J., X.M. Wu, K. Guirguis, A. Gershunov, R. Basu. Associations between ambient temperature and hepatobiliary and renal hospitalizations in California, 1999 to 2009. Environ. Res. 2019. 10; 177:108566. PMID: 31323396
• Rutz J.J., B. Guan, D. Bozkurt, I. Gorodetskaya, A. Gershunov, D.A. Lavers, K.M. Mahoney, B.J. Moore, W.Neff, P.J. Neiman, F.M. Ralph, A.M. Ramos, H.C. Steen–Larsen, M. Tsukernik, R. Valenzuela, M. Viale, 2019: Global and Regional Perspectives. Chapter 4 in Atmospheric Rivers. Springer, In press.
• Williams A.P., J.T. Abatzoglou, A. Gershunov, J. Guzman Morales, D.A. Bishop and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2019: The link between anthropogenic climate change and wildfire in California. Future Earth, 7. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF00121. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2019EF001210

2018

• Baguskas S. A., R. E. S. Clemesha, M. E. Loik, 2018: Coastal low cloudiness and fog enhance crop water use efficiency in a California agricultural system, Agriculture and Forest Meteorology, 252, 109-120. doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.01.015
• Basu, R., X. Wu, A. Gershunov, K. Guirguis, T. Benmarhnia, 2018: Heat waves and health impacts in California. California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment. California Energy Commission. Publication number EXT-CCC4A-2018-XXXX, in press.
• Dias, D.F., D.R. Cayan and A. Gershunov, 2018: Statistical prediction of minimum and maximum air temperature in California and Western North America. California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment. California Energy Commission. Publication number EXT-CCC4A-2018-XXXX, in press.
• Guirguis, K, A. Gershunov, T. Shulgina, A. Subramanian, R.E.S. Clemesha, F.M. Ralph, 2018: Circulation drivers of Atmospheric Rivers along the North American West Coast. GRL, 45. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079249
• Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, T.M. Shulgina, R.E.S. Clemesha, F.M. Ralph, 2018: Atmospheric Rivers impacting Northern California and their modulation by a variable climate. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4532-5
• Lawson, D.M., R.E.S. Clemesha, S. Vanderplank, A. Gershunov, and D. Cayan. 2018. Impacts and Influences of Coastal Low Clouds and Fog on Biodiversity in San Diego. Pages 69-89 in: Jennings, M.K., D. Cayan, J. Kalansky, A.D. Pairis et al. San Diego County Ecosystems: Ecological Impacts Of Climate Change On A Biodiversity Hotspot. California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, California Energy Commission. Publication number: EXT-CCC4A- 2018-010
• Ralph, F.M., A.M. Wilson, T. Shulgina, B. Kawzenuk, S. Sellars, J.J. Rutz, M. Asgari-Lamjiri, E.A. Barnes, A. Gershunov, B. Guan, K. Nardi, T. Osborne, and G.A. Wick, 2018: Comparison of Atmospheric River Detection Tools: How Many Atmospheric Rivers Hit Northern California’s Russian River Watershed? Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4427-5.
• Syphard, A.D., A. Gershunov, D.M. Lawson, H. Rivera Huerta, J. Guzman-Morales, and M.K. Jennings. 2018: San Diego Wildfires: Drivers of Change and Future Outlook. Pages 49 – 69 in: Jennings, M.K., D. Cayan, J. Kalansky, A.D. Pairis et al. San Diego County ecosystems: ecological impacts of climate change on a biodiversity hotspot. California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, California Energy Commission. Publication number: EXT-CCC4A- 2018-010
• Vashishtha, D., W. Sieber, B. Hailey, K. Guirguis, A. Gershunov, W. Al-Delaimy, 2018: Outpatient Clinic Visits During Heat Waves: Findings From a Large Family Medicine Clinical Database. Family Practice, cmy013, https://doi.org/10.1093/fampra/cmy013.
• Wu E., R.E.S. Clemesha, and J. Kleissl, 2018: Coastal Stratocumulus cloud edge forecasts, Solar Energy, 164, 355–369. doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2018.02.072

2017

• Clemesha, R.E.S., K. Guirguis, A. Gershunov, I. Small and A.Tardy, 2017: California heat waves: their spatial evolution, variation and coastal modulation by low clouds. Climate Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-017-3875-7.
• Clemesha, R.E.S., A.Gershunov, S.F. Iacobellis and D.R. Cayan, 2017: Daily Variability of California Coastal Low Cloudiness: A Balancing Act between Stability and Subsidence. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 3330–3338, doi:10.1002/2017GL073075.
• Gershunov A., T.M. Shulgina, F.M. Ralph, D. Lavers and J.J. Rutz, 2017: Assessing climate-scale variability of Atmospheric Rivers affecting western North America. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL074175.
• Guirguis, K., R. Basu, W. Al-Delaimy, T. Benmarhnia, R.E.S. Clemesha, I. Corcos, J. Guzman-Morales, B. Hailey, I. Small, A. Tardy, D. Vashishtha, J.G. Zivin, and A. Gershunov, 2018: Heat, disparities, and health outcomes in San Diego County’s diverse climate zones. GeoHealth, 2, https:/doi.org/10.1029/2017GH000127.
• Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan and D. Pierce, 2017: Heat wave probability in the changing climate of the Southwest US. Climate Dynamics, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3850-3.
• Sherbakov, T., B.J. Malig, K. Guirguis, A. Gershunov, R. Basu, 2017: Ambient Temperature and Added Heat Wave Effects on Hospitalizations in California from 1999-2009. Environmental Research, 160, 83-90.
• Shields, C. A., J. J. Rutz, L.-Y. Leung, F. M. Ralph, M. Wehner, B. Kawzenuk, J.M. Lora, E. McClenny, T. Osborne, A. E. Payne, P. Ullrich, A. Gershunov, N. Goldenson, B. Guan, Y. Qian, A.M. Ramos, C. Sarangi, S. Sellars, I. Gorodetskaya, K. Kashinath, V. Kurlin, K. Mahoney, G. Muszynski, R. Pierce, A. C. Subramanian, R. Tome, D. Waliser, D. Walton, G. Wick, A. Wilson, D. Lavers, Prabhat, A. Collow, H. Krishnan, G. Magnusdottir, and P. Nguyen, 2018: Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): project goals and experimental design, Geoscientific Model Development, 11, 2455-2474, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-2455-2018.
• Simonis, A. E., M. A. Roch, B. Baily, J. Barlow, R. E. S. Clemesha, S. Iacobellis, J. A. Hildebrand, and S. Baumann-Pickering, 2017: Lunar cycles affect common dolphin (Delphinus delphis) foraging in the Southern California Bight, Marine Ecology Progress Series, 577, 221-235, doi: 10.3354/meps12247
• Polade, S.D., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger and D.W. Pierce, 2017: Precipitation in a warming world: Assessing projected hydro-climate of California and other Mediterranean climate regions. Nature Scientific Reports, 7: 10783, DOI:10.1038/s41598-017-11285-y.

2016

• Clemesha, R.E.S., A. Gershunov, S.F. Iacobellis, D.R. Cayan and A.P. Williams, 2016: The Northward March of Summer Low Cloudiness along the California Coast. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, doi:10.1002/2015GL067081.
• Grotjahn R., R. Black, R. Leung, M.F. Wehner, M. Barlow, M. Bosilovich, A. Gershunov, W.J. Gutowski Jr., J.R. Gyakum, R.W. Katz, Y.-Y. Lee, Y.-K. Lim, Prabhat, 2016: North American Extreme Temperature Events and Related Large Scale Meteorological Patterns: A Review of Statistical Methods, Dynamics, Modeling, and Trends. Climate Dynamics, 46, 1151-1184, doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2638-6.
• Guzman Morales, J., A. Gershunov, J. Theiss, H. Li and D.R. Cayan, 2016: Santa Ana Winds of southern California: Their climatology, extremes, and behavior spanning six and a half decades. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, doi:10.1002/2016GL067887.

2015

• Cavanaugh, N.R., A. Gershunov, 2015: Probabilistic Tail Dependence of Intense Precipitation on Spatiotemporal Scale in Observations, Reanalyses, and GCMs. Climate Dynamics, 45, 2965-2975, DOI:10.1007/s00382-015-2517-1.
• Cavanaugh, N.R., A. Gershunov, A.K. Panorska, and T.J. Kozubowski, 2015: The Probability Distribution of Intense Daily Precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 1560–1567. doi: 10.1002/2015GL063238.
• Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov and D.R. Cayan, 2015: Interannual variability in associations between seasonal climate, weather and extremes: wintertime temperature over the Southwestern United States. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 124023, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124023.
• Lavers, D.A., F.M. Ralph, D.E. Waliser, A. Gershunov and M.D. Dettinger, 2015: Climate change intensification of horizontal water vapor transport in CMIP5. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 5617-5625, doi:10.1002/2015GL064672.
• Williams, A. P., R. E. Schwartz, S. Iacobellis, R. Seager, B. I. Cook, C. J. Still, G. Husak, and J. Michaelsen, 2015: Urbanization causes increased cloud base height and decreased fog in coastal Southern California, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42(5), 1527–1536, doi:10.1002/2015GL063266.

2014

• Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, A. Tardy and R. Basu, 2014: The Impact of Recent Heat Waves on Human Health in California. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53, 3-19.
• Polade, S.D., D.W. Pierce, D.R. Cayan, A. Gershunov and M.D. Dettinger, 2014: The key role of dry days in changing regional climate and precipitation regimes. Nature Scientific Reports 4, 4364; DOI:10.1038/srep04364.
• Schwartz, R.E., A. Gershunov, S.F. Iacobellis and D.R. Cayan, 2014: North American West Coast Summer Low Cloudiness: Broad Scale Variability Associated with Sea Surface Temperature. Geophysical Research Letters. 41, 3307–3314, DOI: 10.1002/2014GL059825.

2013

• Brown, H. E., A. C. Comrie, D. M. Drechsler, C. M. Barker, R. Basu, T. Brown, A. Gershunov, A. M. Kilpatrick, W. K. Reisen, and D. M. Ruddell. 2013. “Human Health.” Chapter 15 in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, edited by G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy, 312–339. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance. NCA Regional Input Reports. Washington, DC: Island Press. ISBN 9781610914468
• Cayan, D., M. Tyree, K. E. Kunkel, C. Castro, A. Gershunov, J. Barsugli, A. J. Ray, J. Overpeck, M. Anderson, J. Russell, B. Rajagopalan, I. Rangwala, and P. Duffy. 2013. “Future Climate: Projected Average.” Chapter 6 in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, edited by G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy, 101–125. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance. NCA Regional Input Reports. Washington, DC: Island Press. ISBN 9781610914468
• Gershunov, A., B. Rajagopalan, J. Overpeck, K. Guirguis, D. Cayan, M. Hughes, M. Dettinger, C. Castro, R. E. Schwartz, M. Anderson, A. J. Ray, J. Barsugli, T. Cavazos, and M. Alexander. 2013. “Future Climate: Projected Extremes.” Chapter 7 in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, edited by G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy, 126–147. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance. NCA Regional Input Reports. Washington, DC: Island Press. ISBN 9781610914468
• Polade, S.D., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger and D.W. Pierce, 2013: Natural climate variability and teleconnections to precipitation over the Pacific-North American region in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. Geophysical Research Letters, 40, doi:10.1002/grl.50491.
• Rodó X., M. Pascual, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Gershunov, D.A. Stone, F. Giorgi, P.J. Hudson, J. Kinter, M.-À. Rodríguez-Arias, N.Ch. Stenseth, D. Alonso, J. Garcia-Serrano, A.P. Dobson, 2013: Climate Change and Infectious Diseases: Can we meet the needs for better prediction? Climatic Change, 118, 625-640.

2012

• Gershunov A. and K. Guirguis, 2012: California heat waves in the present and future. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L18710, doi:10.1029/2012GL052979.
• Macias D., M.R. Landry, A. Gershunov, A.J. Miller and P.J.S. Franks, 2012: Climatic Control of Upwelling Variability along the Western North-American Coast. PLoS ONE, 7, 1-13.
• Semenza, J.C., J.S. Caplan, G. Buescher, T. Das, M.V. Brinks and A. Gershunov, 2012: Climate Change and Health Risk from Swimming at California Beaches. Emerging Infectious Diseases, DOI: 10.1007/s10393-012-0779-1.

2011

• Gershunov, A, Z. Johnston, H.G. Margolis and K. Guirguis, 2011: The California Heat Wave 2006 with Impacts on Statewide Medical Emergency: A space-time analysis. Geography Research Forum, 31, 6-31.
• Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, R. Schwartz and S. Bennett, 2011: Recent warm and cold daily winter temperature extremes in the Northern Hemisphere, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L17701, doi:10.1029/2011GL048762.

2010

• Ben Ari, T., A. Gershunov, T. Rouyer, B. Cazelles, K.L. Gage, N.Ch. Stenseth, 2010: Interannual variability of human plague occurrence in the western U.S. explained by tropical and North Pacific Ocean climate variability. American Journal of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene, 83, 624-632.
• Cayan, D.R., T. Das, D.W. Pierce, T.P. Barnett, M. Tyree and A Gershunov, 2010: Future dryness in the southwest US and the hydrology of the early 21st century drought. PNAS, 107, 21271-21276, doi:10.1073/pnas.0912391107.
• Gershunov A., D. Cayan and B. Retournaz, 2010: California Heat Waves with Impacts on Wine Grapes. In E.G. Pavia, J. Sheinbaum and J. Candela (Eds), The Ocean, the Wine, and the Valley: The Lives of Antoine Badan, Lulu Press, 205-223, ISBN 978-0-557-94026-4.
• OrtizBevia, M., I. Perez-Gonzalez, F. Alvarez-Garcia and A. Gershunov, 2010: Nonlinear estimation of El Niño impact on the North Atlantic winter. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, 10pp, doi:10.1029/2009JD013387.

2009

• Gershunov, A., D. Cayan and S. Iacobellis, 2009: The great 2006 heat wave over California and Nevada: Signal of an increasing trend. Journal of Climate, 22, 6181–6203.
• Favre, A. and A. Gershunov, 2009: North Pacific cyclonic and anticyclonic transients in a global warming context: possible consequences for Western North American daily precipitation and temperature extremes. Climate Dynamics, 32, 969-987.
• Kozubowski, T.J., A.K. Panorska, F. Qeadan, A. Gershunov and D. Rominger, 2009: Testing exponentiality versus Pareto distribution via likelihood ratio. Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation, 38, 118-139.

2008

Ben Ari, T., A. Gershunov, T. Rouyer, B. Cazelles, K.L. Gage, N.Ch. Stenseth, 2008: Human plague in the USA: the importance of regional and local climate. Biology Letters, 4, 737-740.
Gershunov A. and H. Douville, 2008: Extensive summer hot and cold extremes under current and possible future climatic conditions: Europe and North America. In: H. F. Diaz and R. J. Murnane (Eds.), Climate Extremes and Society. Cambridge University Press, New York, 348pp, 74-98.
White, W.B., A. Gershunov, J.L. Annis, 2008: Climatic influences on Midwest drought during the 20^th Journal of Climate, 21, 517-531.

2007

• Panorska, A.K., A. Gershunov and T.J. Kozubowski, 2007: From diversity to volatility: Probability of daily precipitation extremes. In: A. Tsonis and J. Elsner (Eds.), Nonlinear Dynamics in Geosciences, Springer, New York, pp. 465-484.

2006

• Alfaro, E., A. Gershunov and D.R. Cayan, 2006: Prediction of summer maximum and minimum temperature over the Central and Western United States: The role of soil moisture and sea surface temperature. Journal of Climate. 19, 1407-1421.
• Favre, A. and A. Gershunov, 2006: Extra-tropical cyclonic/anticyclonic activity in North-Eastern Pacific and air temperature extremes in Western North America. Climate Dynamics, 26, 617-629.

2005

• Alfaro, E., D.W. Pierce, A. Steinemann and A. Gershunov, 2005: Relationships Between the Irrigation Pumping Electrical Loads and the Local Climate in Climate Division 9, Idaho. Journal of Applied Meteorology. 44, 1972–1978.

2004

• Alfaro, E., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan, A. Steinemann, D.W. Pierce and T.P. Barnett, 2004: A method for prediction of California summer air surface temperature. Eos. 85. 553, 557-558.
• Gershunov, A. and R. Roca, 2004: Coupling of latent heat flux and the greenhouse effect by large-scale tropical/subtropical dynamics diagnosed in a set of observations and model simulations. Climate Dynamics, 22, 205-222.
• White, W.B., A. Gershunov, J.L. Annis, G. McKeon and J. Syktus, 2004: Forecasting Australian drought using southern hemisphere modes of sea surface temperature variability. International Journal of Climatology. 24, 1911-1927.

2003

• Gershunov, A. and D. Cayan, 2003: Heavy daily precipitation frequency over the contiguous United States: Sources of climatic variability and seasonal predictability. Journal of Climate, 16, 2752-2765.
• Westerling, A.L., A. Gershunov, T. Brown, D. Cayan, and M. Dettinger, 2003: Climate and wildfire in the western United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 84, 595-604.

2002

• Westerling, A.L., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan and T.P. Barnett, 2002: Long lead statistical forecasts of area burned in western U.S. wildfires by ecosystem province. Int. Journal of Wildland Fire, 11, 257-266.

2001

• Biondi, F., A. Gershunov and D. Cayan, 2001: North Pacific decadal climate variability since AD 1661. Journal of Climate, 14, 5-10.
• Gershunov, A., N. Schneider and T. Barnett, 2001: Low frequency modulation of the ENSO-Indian monsoon rainfall relationship: Signal or noise. Journal of Climate, 14, 2486-2492.

2000

• Gershunov, A., T. Barnett, D. Cayan, T. Tubbs and L Goddard, 2000: Predicting and downscaling ENSO impacts on intraseasonal precipitation statistics in California: the 1997-1998 event. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 1, 201-209.

1999

• Gershunov, A., T. Barnett and D. Cayan, 1999: North Pacific interdecadal oscillation seen as factor in ENSO-related North American climate anomalies. Eos, 80, 25-30.

1998

• Gershunov, A. and T. Barnett, 1998: Inter-decadal modulation of ENSO teleconnections. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 79, 2715-2725.
• Gershunov, A., 1998: ENSO influence on intraseasonal extreme rainfall and temperature frequencies in the contiguous US: Implications for long-range predictability. Journal of Climate, 11, 3192-3203.
• Gershunov, A. and T. Barnett, 1998: ENSO influence on intraseasonal extreme rainfall and temperature frequencies in the contiguous US: observations and model results. Journal of Climate, 11, 1575-1586.
• Gershunov, A., J. Michaelsen and C. Gautier, 1998: Large-Scale Coupling Between the Tropical Greenhouse Effect and Latent Heat Flux via Atmospheric Dynamics. Journal of Geophysical Research, 103, 6017-6031.

1996

• Gershunov, A. and J. Michaelsen, 1996: Climatic-Scale Space-Time Variability of Tropical Precipitation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 101, 26297-26307.
• Gershunov, A. and J. Michaelsen, 1996: Vertical Variability of Water Vapor in the Midlatitude Upper Troposphere. Contributions to Atmospheric Physics, 69, 205-214.